Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1785

   Mesoscale Discussion 1785
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0239 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Kentucky...eastern
   Tennessee...southern West Virginia...western Virginia...western
   North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526...

   Valid 281939Z - 282145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW526.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue across portions of WW526, with
   more discrete supercells noted across portions of eastern West
   Virginia into west Virginia and southward into eastern Tennessee.
   Low-level rotation has remained transient and weak with these,
   likely owing to the generally modest low-level flow. Strong deep
   layer shear will continue to support supercell modes, with potential
   for large hail, damaging wind, and perhaps a tornado or two.

   Additionally, a more clustered/mutli-cell structures continue back
   to the west in western Kentucky. These will continue to pose a risk
   for damaging wind and large hail.

   ..Thornton.. 07/28/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

   LAT...LON   35568139 35388325 35488400 35658408 36548423 37338398
               37318389 37628343 37618193 37878075 37798002 37287909
               36917912 35997968 35618056 35558128 35568139 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN