Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1752

   Mesoscale Discussion 1752
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0851 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

   Areas affected...portions of far southern Kentucky into western and
   middle Tennessee

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 516...517...

   Valid 270151Z - 270245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 516, 517
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging gusts remain a concern for the next few hours, a
   couple of which may reach 55-70 mph.

   DISCUSSION...A cold-pool-driven MCS continues to propagate southward
   across southern KY and is approaching western and middle TN. This
   MCS has a history of damaging gusts, and continues to traverse a
   corridor of 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE and 30-40 kts of effective bulk
   shear. While this MCS is beginning to outpace the more favorable
   vertical wind shear, the rich moisture in place (e.g. the 75-80 F
   dewpoints contributing to the extreme buoyancy) will compensate for
   a continued damaging gust threat for at least a few more hours.
   Since the MCS continues to track southward at approximately 30-35
   kts, it is poised to cross western and middle TN in the 9-11 PM CDT
   period.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/27/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

   LAT...LON   35808865 37008878 37278876 37348868 37378856 37268815
               37148763 37158710 37318671 37468632 37388597 37178587
               36858599 36468647 35828661 35338669 35168697 35138747
               35178796 35378837 35808865 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH