Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1727

   Mesoscale Discussion 1727
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0735 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

   Areas affected...portions of far eastern North Dakota into northern
   Minnesota

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 511...

   Valid 250035Z - 250200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 511 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe wind and hail will continue with ongoing
   supercells, with isolated tornadoes still possible.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells continue to traverse a baroclinic
   zone at the terminus of a low-level warm-air advection regime, with
   a history of severe wind/hail and at least one brief tornado. MRMS
   mosaic MESH indicates severe hail is still falling with these
   storms, with NEXRAD velocity data showing occasional, brief bouts of
   low-level rotation. While an instance or two of hail may occur with
   multicells and transient supercells farther north of the baroclinic
   zone, the primary severe threat should continue with the ongoing
   mature supercells for at least a few hours. All severe hazards
   remain a concern.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/25/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

   LAT...LON   48029786 48739628 48759465 48279350 47369318 46869333
               46729365 46849447 47059591 47249661 47589761 48029786 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN