Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 14

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 220834
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062026
0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 120.7W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 120SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 120.7W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 120.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 121.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 123.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.7N 126.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N 129.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 134.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.3N 139.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.8N 144.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 120.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY