Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1508

   Mesoscale Discussion 1508
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0920 PM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026

   Areas affected...Southern and eastern Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460...

   Valid 050220Z - 050315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The line of storms will continue southeastward with the
   threat for occasional severe outflow gusts/wind damage into east
   central/southeast OK, with new storm development possible into
   central/south central OK with merging outflows.

   DISCUSSION...Outflow continues to stay a few miles ahead of the
   primary reflectivity band across central and eastern OK, with the
   strongest recent gusts in the 50-68 mph range across northeast OK. 
   The eastern extent of the severe threat will be limited over the
   next few hours by rain-cooled air from earlier storms in AR, but the
   environment remains favorable for occasional wind damage/severe
   gusts into east central and southeast OK.  Farther west, new storm
   development is occurring into central OK, especially where a
   separate outflow from the west interacts with the more east-west
   oriented outflow boundary moving southward through central OK. 
   There will still be the potential for occasional severe gusts with
   this western part of the cluster as it progresses into central and
   south central OK.

   The more favorable moisture and vertical shear environment is
   largely confined to OK, with weakening of the storms expected into
   western AR and by the time the storms reach the Red River.  Local
   extensions of the current watch are still possible, but a new
   downstream watch appears unnecessary.

   ..Thompson.. 07/05/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35629531 36479473 36319420 35999406 35359462 34829481
               34409476 34139508 33989556 33999612 34119685 34399759
               34629849 34839845 35259807 35349765 35349616 35629531 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN