Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1059

   Mesoscale Discussion 1059
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0142 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

   Areas affected...West-central into northern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298...

   Valid 100642Z - 100845Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for severe gusts/wind damage will increase into
   portions of northern Minnesota tonight. Isolated large hail and a
   QLCS tornado threat will also exist. A new watch is possible for
   north-central/northeast Minnesota within the next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...A small bowing segment is moving into west-central
   Minnesota. This portion of the broader convective line has been
   responsible for multiple severe gusts in northeastern South Dakota
   and southeastern North Dakota tonight. Given the favorable
   orientation of the line with respect to the deep-layer shear vector,
   this activity will likely be the focus for severe gusts/wind damage
   over the next few hours. While dewpoints do decrease farther
   northeast, some modest theta-e advection is expected to occur
   immediately ahead of this bowing structure. Steep mid-level lapse
   rates are still in place across the region so isolated large hail is
   possible even with a linear storm mode. A QLCS tornado also is
   possible. A new watch is possible for portions of
   north-central/northeast Minnesota within the next couple of hours.

   ..Wendt.. 06/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

   LAT...LON   46269403 45189643 45509669 46149673 46479702 46619727
               46929772 47919492 47739420 46869368 46269403 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN