MD 1036 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AMD FAR NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1036
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026
Areas affected...the eastern Texas Panhandle amd far northwestern
Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 082341Z - 090145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms will likely pose a threat for hail,
damaging gusts and a brief tornado this evening.
DISCUSSION...As of 2330 UTC, regional radar analysis showed two
stronger thunderstorms have matured along the dryline across the
eastern TX Panhandle. While vertical shear is rather modest, very
hot surface temperatures over 100 F and 60s F surface dewpoints are
supporting moderate instability with these supercells. Isolated
large hail is possible for the next couple of hours given the steep
lapse rates and buoyancy, along with the potential for damaging
winds with T/TD spreads of 40 degrees F. Recent reports of a
landspout also suggests a tornado is possible, especially in
Lipscomb County, TX where back building along the dryline/boundary
with enhanced vertical vorticity has been noted. Weak steering flow
and modest storm motions should keep the severe threat fairly
isolated. Inhibition is also forecast to increase rapidly with the
loss of diurnal heating this evening. This suggests a WW is not
needed, though trends will continue to be monitored.
..Lyons/Gleason.. 06/08/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 34720160 35730132 36390086 36620032 36529975 36359976
35949999 35290040 34680077 34610127 34720160
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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