Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 351

   Mesoscale Discussion 0351
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1041 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026

   Areas affected...south-central into southeast OK

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95...

   Valid 040341Z - 040445Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A supercell tornado risk has seemingly evolved and will
   probably continue until outflow from the severe cluster to its north
   undercuts it.

   DISCUSSION...A recently developed supercell in Pontotoc County will
   likely continue unimpeded to the east-northeast within a moist,
   adequately unstable, and appreciably strongly sheared environment. 
   Although convective inhibition will gradually increase as
   temperatures slowly cool, the established supercell may continue to
   ingest surface-based air until the cold pool from the larger cluster
   to its north, undercuts and effectively pinches off warm/unstable
   inflow.  In the meantime, a tornado will be possible along with
   damaging gusts and possibly marginally severe hail.

   ..Smith.. 04/04/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34709697 34839683 35039579 34959554 34699557 34629584
               34549683 34709697 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN