US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 348

Published Date and Time: 2026-04-03 22:00:00



   Mesoscale Discussion 0348
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0831 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026

   Areas affected...portions of southwestern Oklahoma into southeastern
   Kansas and southwestern Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93...

   Valid 040131Z - 040300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Several discrete/semi-discrete supercells continue to pose
   a threat for large/very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a
   tornado or two, with the greatest potential across portions of
   central Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...Discrete/semi-discrete supercells have persisted across
   portions of southwestern/central Oklahoma over the past 1-2 hours,
   with several instances of 2+ inch hail reported across Kiowa County,
   Oklahoma. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large/very
   large hail and severe wind gusts across portions of WW93 over the
   next couple of hours. The greatest risk for severe, including the
   potential for a brief tornado or two, will likely be across portions
   of central Oklahoma, where backing surface winds and increasingly
   curved low-level hodographs (~200 m2/s2 0-500 m SRH) have been noted
   over the past 30-60 minutes per the OUN VWP. Farther northeast,
   convection across southeastern Kansas/northeastern Oklahoma,
   convection has shown some signs of weakening, but at least some
   potential for severe hail continues to linger with more intense
   cores.

   Upscale growth into a more linear storm mode is still expected along
   the cold front with time, which will bring a transition toward
   severe wind gusts as the primary threat. It remains uncertain
   whether a local extension in time of WW93 or a new Severe
   Thunderstorm Watch may be needed to cover the lingering severe risk
   this evening and perhaps into the overnight.

   ..Chalmers.. 04/04/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34719963 34909947 35319869 35889752 36339670 37099597
               37629562 38109537 38359504 38299440 37869416 36879434
               35919510 34759622 34479746 34379844 34409936 34539958
               34719963 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN



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