Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 205

   Mesoscale Discussion 0205
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1256 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

   Areas affected...portions of northeastern Indiana and northwest Ohio

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 37...

   Valid 110556Z - 110700Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 37 continues.

   SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms should
   continue along the frontal zone from northern IN into northwest OH.
   Occasional severe gusts or hail are possible, but the downstream
   threat should become increasingly isolated.

   DISCUSSION...As of 0555 UTC, regional radar showed a cluster of
   thunderstorms propagating eastward along the frontal zone in
   Northeast IN. A recent gust to 51 kts was reported at KGSH,
   indicating that these storms remain capable of occasional severe
   winds. The environment downstream is modestly buoyant and strongly
   sheared along the frontal zone. This should be sufficient to
   maintain modest organization of stronger updrafts for a few hours.
   Given increasing nocturnal inhibition and a tendency for the front
   to undercut these storm with time, the expectation is for them to
   gradually weaken into northwestern OH. While isolated severe gusts
   will remain possible, a downstream watch appears unlikely given the
   expected weakening trend. Convective trends will continue to be
   monitored.

   ..Lyons.. 03/11/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...

   LAT...LON   41428652 41628558 41738452 41708351 41498332 41258331
               41088342 41058455 41138580 41118641 41148675 41428652 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN