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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 184

Published Date and Time: 2026-03-09 21:44:00



Mesoscale Discussion 184
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0184
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0843 PM CDT Mon Mar 09 2026

   Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Alabama into
   western Georgia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30...

   Valid 100143Z - 100315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An MCS will continue to move east/southward across AL/GA
   this evening with a risk for damaging gusts.

   DISCUSSION...As of 0140 UTC, regional radar imagery showed an
   initially loosely organized cluster of thunderstorms had developed
   into an MCS across portions of AL and western GA. The environment
   remains broadly unstable and moderately sheared across much of the
   southeast, which should continue to maintain organized bowing
   segments and supercells.

   While not overly intense, more organization has been noted within
   the MCS over the last two hours, suggesting a consolidated cold pool
   and stronger surface pressure gradient has developed. This will
   support the potential for damaging gusts (max 60-65 mph), and
   possibly a QLCS tornado or two as the convective complex continues
   east/southeastward into parts of eastern AL and west-central GA
   (including the Atlanta Metro in 1-2 hours) this evening.

   Additional strong thunderstorms, including a few supercells, will
   remain possible on the upshear side of the complex over central AL.
   Additional upscale growth appears likely with time. This would favor
   damaging gusts and some hail potential with the stronger supercells.
   Given the persistent severe threat, WW30 remains in effect until
   0300 UTC, but may be locally extended in time and area as convection
   continues to move through AL/GA.

   ..Lyons.. 03/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   34548528 34338435 33108356 32398385 32198451 32078551
               32398683 32608746 32868798 33158829 33328844 33568842
               33788823 33818743 33838667 33938607 34128578 34548528 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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