Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Sonia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

Published Date and Time: 2025-10-25 22:32:00



Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025

598 
FOPZ13 KNHC 260232
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM SONIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182025               
0300 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SONIA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 120W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
15N 120W       34  4  25(29)  14(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
15N 120W       50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
15N 120W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 125W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)  28(36)   1(37)   X(37)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BUCCI



Source link

Leave a Reply