Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2173

   Mesoscale Discussion 2173
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0711 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025

   Areas affected...DFW Vicinity

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629...

   Valid 250011Z - 250145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A linear segment of storms will pose some risk for
   damaging/severe winds as well as a brief QLCS tornado or two into
   mid evening.

   DISCUSSION...A linear segment is moving into parts of North Texas
   this evening. This feature produced a 51 kt wind gust in Brownwood.
   Though temperatures south of the differential heating boundary have
   cooled a degree or two over the last hour, low 80s F inflow remains.
   Given the more unstable inflow than storm to the north and modest
   increase in 850 mb winds, it is likely this activity continues over
   the next couple of hours and approaches the DFW metro. The KFWS VAD
   continues to show enlarged low-level hodographs as well as an
   improving mid-level wind profile. Damaging/severe gusts as well as
   QLCS circulations/tornadoes will be possible into mid evening.

   ..Wendt.. 10/25/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...

   LAT...LON   31649865 32429880 33019807 33059791 33029750 32819704
               32549697 32069762 31649865 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN