Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025
799 WTPZ21 KNHC 042032 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025 2100 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.6W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.6W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.8N 106.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 60SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.3N 106.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.0N 107.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 110SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.8N 108.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N 109.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...190NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 110.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 113.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.1N 115.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 05/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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