Hurricane Narda Forecast Advisory Number 10

465 
WTPZ24 KNHC 240251
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
0300 UTC WED SEP 24 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.8N 118.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.3N 120.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.1N 121.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 123.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 109.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)