000 WTPZ22 KNHC 021456 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122025 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 107.9W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 107.9W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.4N 109.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.7N 111.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N 112.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.0N 113.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.9N 114.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.9N 114.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.8N 113.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 28.9N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 107.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER GALLINA
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