Tropical Storm Sara Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT24 KNHC 142044
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192024
2100 UTC THU NOV 14 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  83.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  83.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  83.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N  84.7W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N  85.5W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.1N  85.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N  86.4W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.3N  87.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.7N  88.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 19.3N  90.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  83.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 15/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN