Tropical Storm Rafael Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT23 KNHC 092057
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
2100 UTC SAT NOV 09 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  91.7W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  91.7W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  91.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.7N  91.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N  91.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.7N  91.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.6N  91.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.3N  92.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.2N  93.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 21.0N  95.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART