Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT22 KNHC 021434
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172024
1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  32.4W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 130 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 480SE 600SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  32.4W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  33.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 38.2N  29.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE 150SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.8N  25.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.8N  21.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.7N  17.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.0N  13.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 41.6N  10.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  32.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI