Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 250235
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
0300 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 122.7W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  926 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 122.7W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 122.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 124.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.9N 128.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.9N 129.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.2N 130.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 122.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI