Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

306 
WTPZ22 KNHC 232044
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
2100 UTC WED OCT 23 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 115.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  928 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 115.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 114.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.1N 121.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.7N 123.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 126.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.4N 128.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.5N 130.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 133.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE  30SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 115.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS