Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 230839
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
0900 UTC WED OCT 23 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 112.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  60SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 112.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 111.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.2N 121.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.7N 123.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.7N 126.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.2N 128.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 131.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.1N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 112.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN