Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 230234
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
0300 UTC WED OCT 23 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.1W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.1W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.5N 112.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.2N 119.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.4N 122.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.2N 125.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.2N 131.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.6N 135.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 110.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI