000
FOPZ12 KNHC 212043
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
2100 UTC MON OCT 21 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 105W 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 57(58) 3(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) 19(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
10N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 47(48) 29(77) X(77) X(77)
15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 28(41) X(41) X(41)
15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18)
10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 75(75) 4(79) X(79)
15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 3(47) X(47)
15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26)
10N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
10N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
10N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 69(72) 3(75)
15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 2(45)
15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 2(26)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17)
15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 43(46)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
$$
FORECASTER DELGADO/PAPIN
Tropical Storm Kristy Wind Speed Probabilities
21
Oct