Tropical Storm Joyce Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT21 KNHC 290838
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112024
0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  48.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  48.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  47.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N  48.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N  49.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.4N  49.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N  48.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.8N  48.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N  48.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH