Hurricane John Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 261438
TCMEP5

HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102024
1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 102.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 120SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 360SE 300SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 102.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 102.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.0N 102.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE 120SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.6N 103.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 10NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.2N 104.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.8N 105.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 107.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 102.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 26/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY