Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 222049
TCMEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  98.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  98.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  98.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.0N  98.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.4N  98.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N  97.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N  96.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.3N  95.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.1N  94.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.1N  92.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  98.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 23/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART