Tropical Storm Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities

081 
FOPZ14 KNHC 122038
PWSEP4

TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092024               
2100 UTC THU SEP 12 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X  30(30)   9(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X  34(34)  11(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LA PAZ         34  X   2( 2)  16(18)   3(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN