Pacific Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-27 10:44:57



000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271444
TCMEP2

HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 27 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 140.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 140.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 140.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N 142.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.9N 144.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N 146.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 149.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.3N 151.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.8N 153.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.2N 158.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 140.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON GILMA CAN BE FOUND IN 
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER 
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP2...WMO HEADER 
WTPA22 PHFO.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH




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