Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Hone Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPA11 PHFO 260845
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012024         
0900 UTC MON AUG 26 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 160W       34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)

NIIHAU         34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

21N 160W       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BUOY 51003     34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
BUOY 51003     50 36   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
BUOY 51003     64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

NIHOA          34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

22N 164W       34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 165W       34  1  16(17)  46(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
20N 165W       50  X   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  18(30)   X(30)   X(30)
20N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD                                                



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