Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Hone Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPA11 PHFO 260234
PWSCP1

HURRICANE HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012024         
0300 UTC MON AUG 26 2024                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65   
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                            

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BARKING SANDS  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 160W       34 62   4(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
20N 160W       50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NIIHAU         34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

21N 160W       34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BUOY 51003     34 63  30(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
BUOY 51003     50  5  29(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
BUOY 51003     64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

22N 164W       34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 165W       34  X   3( 3)  34(37)  12(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)
20N 165W       50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)   X(34)   X(34)
20N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD                                                 



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