Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory

312 
WTPZ22 KNHC 201433
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  90SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 105SE  90SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 119.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 121.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.6N 122.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.0N 123.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.4N 125.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.8N 126.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.3N 127.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 19.2N 129.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 132.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 119.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI