Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-20 04:38:19



940 
WTPZ22 KNHC 200838
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
0900 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 118.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  90SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 118.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 117.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N 119.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.4N 121.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.8N 123.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.3N 124.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.7N 125.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.2N 126.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 128.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.0N 131.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 118.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH





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