Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 072035
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
2100 UTC WED AUG 07 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 117.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 117.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 117.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 119.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.2N 125.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.8N 127.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.4N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.9N 131.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.9N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH