Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

663 
WTPZ25 KNHC 071434
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
1500 UTC WED AUG 07 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 130SE 120SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 210SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 116.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.2N 118.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 120SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N 121.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.3N 124.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.9N 126.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.4N 128.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.9N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.7N 134.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 117.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS