Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Dora Forecast Advisory



000
WTPA22 PHFO 100246
TCMCP2

HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
0300 UTC THU AUG 10 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 167.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  35SE  35SW  55NW.
34 KT.......105NE  55SE  55SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 180SE 150SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 167.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 166.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 12.0N 170.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.1N 174.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.4N 177.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.3N 179.1E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.1N 176.2E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  25SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.8N 173.2E
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   5SE   5SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 18.1N 168.0E
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 20.7N 164.2E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 167.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL




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