000
FOPZ15 KNHC 140241
PWSEP5
HURRICANE DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052022
ISSUED BY NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0300 UTC THU JUL 14 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 140W 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 140W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA