492
FOPZ15 KNHC 130838
PWSEP5
HURRICANE DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052022
0900 UTC WED JUL 13 2022
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 135W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 135W 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
15N 135W 64 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
15N 140W 34 1 14(15) 37(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
15N 140W 50 X 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
15N 140W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 140W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI