168
FOPZ15 KNHC 120843
PWSEP5
HURRICANE DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052022
0900 UTC TUE JUL 12 2022
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 130W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 130W 50 86 5(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
15N 130W 64 44 14(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
15N 135W 34 X 5( 5) 85(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
15N 135W 50 X 1( 1) 64(65) 4(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
15N 135W 64 X X( X) 38(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 140W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 24(38) X(38) X(38)
15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI