000
FOPZ14 KNHC 070235
PWSEP4
HURRICANE BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042022
0300 UTC THU JUL 07 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLA CLARION 34 8 84(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
ISLA CLARION 50 1 40(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
ISLA CLARION 64 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
15N 115W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 115W 34 3 9(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
15N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 27(30) 15(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 25(33) X(33) X(33)
20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI