Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030847
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
0900 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHERN AND 
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  90.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  90.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  90.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 12.1N  92.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 12.8N  95.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.6N  98.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 104.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N 106.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 16.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 16.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  90.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART




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