930
FOPZ12 KNHC 170234
PWSEP2
HURRICANE BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022
0300 UTC FRI JUN 17 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75
KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 110W 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 110W 34 3 16(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 66(69) 15(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 14(14) 13(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 19(31) 8(39) X(39) X(39)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI