000 WTPZ22 KNHC 150240 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022 0300 UTC WED JUN 15 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.4N 102.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.7N 103.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.2N 104.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.8N 106.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.4N 108.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.9N 110.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.8N 112.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 19.2N 114.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 102.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/HOGSETT