Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 724

   Mesoscale Discussion 0724
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0116 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024

   Areas affected...Northern Georgia...South Carolina

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 214...

   Valid 090616Z - 090815Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 214 continues.

   SUMMARY...A wind damage, hail and isolated tornado threat will
   likely continue across northern Georgia and western South Carolina
   over the next couple hours. The threats are expected to eventually
   spread east-southeastward into north-central Georgia and central
   South Carolina, where additional weather watch issuance may be
   needed.

   DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Atlanta
   shows an MCS oriented from east-to-west from northern Georgia into
   far western South Carolina. The RAP suggests that MLCAPE ranges from
   near 2000 J/kg in northwest Georgia to around 750 J/kg across
   central South Carolina. Regional WSR-88D VWPs at Atlanta, GA and
   Columbia, SC have 0-6 km shear in the 40 to 50 knot range,
   suggesting that supercell development will continue. The strongest
   low-level shear is in South Carolina, where 0-3 km storm-relative
   helicity is estimated to be near 400 m2/s2, according to the RAP.
   This should continue to support an isolated tornado threat with the
   more intense rotating storms. Wind damage will be possible along the
   entire length of the MCS, with the greatest potential along the
   leading edge of the faster-moving bowing line segments.

   ..Broyles.. 05/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

   LAT...LON   33757968 33497994 33488108 33618287 33758452 33988524
               34448540 34718500 34618385 34438140 34298016 34117974
               33757968