Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 637

   Mesoscale Discussion 0637
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0940 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024

   Areas affected...portions of the Edwards Plateau of Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 184...

   Valid 050240Z - 050315Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 184 continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated severe risk continues across portions of the
   Edwards Plateau vicinity.  Extension of WW 184 in time, beyond its
   scheduled 05/03Z expiration, may be needed for a portion of the
   area.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows convection generally decreasing
   in intensity, though a lone storm moving eastward along the
   Crockett/Val Verde County line remains supercellular, with radar
   indications of a large -- though broad -- mesocyclone.  Very large
   hail remains possible with this storm, along with locally damaging
   winds, and the evident rotation suggests at least some continued
   potential for a tornadic spin-up.  While this storm will eventually
   move into Severe Thunderstorm Watch 185 if it maintains current
   trajectory/intensity, a local extension of WW 184 may be needed to
   cover short term severe risk.

   ..Goss.. 05/05/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29960178 30600148 31350132 31550047 31289992 30679994
               29750056 29750084 29960178