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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 626

Mesoscale Discussion 626
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0626
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1141 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024

   Areas affected...south-central Kansas into the northwestern quarter
   of Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 182...

   Valid 040441Z - 040615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 182

   SUMMARY...Risk for locally damaging wind gusts continues across
   portions of south-central Kansas and adjacent northwestern Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows bands/clusters of organized
   storms moving eastward across the southern half of WW 182.  Ample
   instability exists ahead of the convection, given the degree of
   organization, to support continuation of the storms over the next
   couple of hours -- particularly given ascent associated with warm
   advection as a result of the observed 50 kt low-level jet.  While
   mid-level flow remains rather weak across the area, storms continue
   to advance steadily eastward in tandem with rather well-defined
   outflow, and will be accompanied by at least local risk for wind
   gusts near or slightly exceeding severe levels.

   ..Goss.. 05/04/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   35529989 36129911 36569921 36749910 36969929 37449863
               37669861 37459823 36679773 35879790 35429802 35529989 

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