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Mesoscale Discussion 618 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0618 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0613 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...Southwestern Kansas...far southeastern Colorado...Oklahoma Panhandle...far northern Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 180... Valid 032313Z - 040045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 180 continues. SUMMARY...The threat of large hail and severe/damaging gusts continues. A brief window for a tornado risk will exist for discrete storms between 00-03Z. DISCUSSION...A couple clusters of storms continue within WW 180. Visible satellite shows some modestly agitated cumulus ahead of this activity and west of modifying outflow from yesterdays convection. While overall deep layer ascent remains weak as the primary trough is passing by to the north, an increase in the low-level jet is expected this evening. As this occurs, additional storms may form. 40 kts of effective shear and steep mid-level lapse rates should continue to promote some threat for large hail and severe/damaging wind gusts. Wind gust potential would likely increase as storm coverage/cold pool interactions increase. The tornado risk should largely be mitigated by an unfavorable storm mode. However, discrete storms would have some potential to produce a tornado, particularly within the 00-03Z time window. ..Wendt.. 05/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 36010227 36170304 36440339 36810343 37680248 38520250 38910232 39130043 38869978 37699975 36780000 36360021 36030085 35960216 36010227 |
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