Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 534

   Mesoscale Discussion 0534
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0742 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163...

   Valid 240042Z - 240215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 163. Large hail remains the main threat, though severe gust
   could eventually become a bigger concern.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells and multicells are progressing
   across eastern Colorado into western Kansas, many of which have been
   initiating off of outflow boundaries from earlier storms. The
   tendency has been storms to oscillate in intensity and produce 1-2
   inch diameter stones at their peak. However, storm mergers have
   supported strong outflow and the potential development of an MCS
   structure over Kansas. With time, a severe gust threat could
   manifest if the cold pool becomes strong/deep enough. A discrete,
   sustained supercell is also progressing east across eastern
   Colorado, where a baroclinic boundary is fostering storm initiation
   and a local uptick in severe hail potential.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   39400441 39120278 38910129 38810054 38030026 37530040
               37370101 37510187 37760240 38480340 39090437 39400441 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN