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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 389












Mesoscale Discussion 389
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0389
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0902 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024

   Areas affected...portions of northwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91...

   Valid 090202Z - 090330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A bowing line of storms will pose an increased severe
   wind/hail threat for the next 2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells has evolved into a bowing line
   of storms in Stonewall/Haskell/Jones counties. This bowing segment
   should persist east as it moves into better low-level moisture and
   nearly 70 knots of effective shear (per DYX VWP). The latest WoFs
   seems to have a decent handle on the evolution of the cluster
   through 02Z. However, there is considerable spread in the storm mode
   from here forward with around half of the members showing one or
   more supercells emerging out of this bow with other members showing
   upscale growth into a larger linear segment. Regardless of the exact
   storm mode and evolution, consensus does show the threat persisting
   east of watch 91 and a downstream watch will likely be needed.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 04/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

   LAT...LON   33250041 33569989 33739951 34019775 33989640 33799591
               33419584 33089592 32999686 32799786 32749876 32669941
               32610018 32670047 32800049 33250041 


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