Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 312

   Mesoscale Discussion 0312
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0552 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

   Areas affected...portions of northwestern Texas into western
   Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81...

   Valid 312252Z - 010015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe wind and hail remains possible with ongoing
   multicells and supercells along the TX Panhandle/OK border. Strong
   to potentially severe storms may also develop along the dryline in
   northwestern TX.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells and multicells along the surface cold
   front/dryline intersection persists along the eastern TX panhandle,
   and are moving into western OK. Current MRMS mesh depicts potential
   1-2 inch diameter hail falling from these storms. These cells are
   also overspreading a surface airmass characterized by 30 T/Td
   spreads, suggesting that damaging gusts may also occur as well.
   While the greatest short-term severe potential exists with these
   storms, visible satellite and MRMS mosaic radar data indicates
   intensifying convection along the dryline across northwestern TX. If
   these storms can mature, steep tropospheric lapse rates will promote
   severe gust potential, perhaps accompanied by some hail.

   ..Squitieri.. 03/31/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   34100101 35099998 35919926 36139878 36169816 35989780
               35569766 35069772 34319826 33619922 33369985 33350037
               33400078 33480106 34100101 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN